2 Nov · 08:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1594
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pawlik
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1554
FormLWLWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H15-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.