2 Nov · 10:10 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1486
FormWLLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Matus
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1368
FormLLWLL
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Snr
Fair odds · Matus
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+118
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)