2 Nov · 13:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1490
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Dohnal
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1550
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
🌟Dohnal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (193)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H68-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (68-38)