2 Nov · 11:40 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1514
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Osvald
DO
🇨🇿David Osvald
ELO 1515
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Osvald🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 63% (139)
Fair odds · Osvald
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.