2 Nov · 08:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1629
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gembala
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1554
FormLWLWL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Gembala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (115)
Fair odds · Gembala
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)