2 Nov · 15:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1625
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Vesecky
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1514
FormWWWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H62-44
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (62-44)