2 Nov · 14:10 MEZLow · Coin Flip
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1521
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Lasota
DO
🇨🇿David Osvald
ELO 1515
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Osvald
Fair odds · Lasota
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.