2 Nov · 12:40 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1514
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Lasota
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1521
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krupnik🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 63% (139)
Fair odds · Lasota
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.