2 Nov · 13:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1575
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1637
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Slavik🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (197)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)