2 Nov · 13:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1531
FormLLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vesecky
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1625
FormLWWLL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 71% (194)
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H9-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-1)