2 Nov · 11:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1575
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pawlik
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1594
FormWLLWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Slavik🌟Slavik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (63)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.63· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H3-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.