2 Nov · 14:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1417
FormLWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Knazik
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1490
FormWLWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H54-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (54-22)