2 Nov · 13:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1594
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1637
FormWLWWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pawlik🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (197)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H10-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.