2 Nov · 13:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DO
🇨🇿David Osvald
ELO 1515
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Osvald
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1465
FormWLLWL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 69% (72)
Fair odds · Osvald
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.