2 Nov · 16:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1540
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Flesar
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jr
ELO 1438
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Flesar
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)