2 Nov · 19:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AB
🇨🇿Antonin Baros
ELO 1529
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zaskodny
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1565
FormLWLLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Zaskodny
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H10-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.