2 Nov · 20:45 MEZLow · Coin Flip
AB
🇨🇿Antonin Baros
ELO 1529
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Baca
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Baca
ELO 1545
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Baca
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.