2 Nov · 20:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1494
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Heuman
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1520
FormWLLLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanak🌟Kanak covers set handicap as underdog 72% (95)
Fair odds · Heuman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H7-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.