2 Nov · 20:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1575
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hons
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krcil
ELO 1550
FormLWWWW
52%
48%
🌟Krcil covers set handicap as underdog 69% (39)
Fair odds · Hons
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.