2 Nov · 18:50 MEZLow · Coin Flip
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1526
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Dvorak
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1528
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Dvorak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (85)
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H20-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.