2 Nov · 20:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1633
FormWLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Chvatal
JM
🇨🇿Jirasek Martin
ELO 1528
FormWLWWL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Martin🌟Chvatal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (55)
Fair odds · Chvatal
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)