2 Nov · 16:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1433
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Moravec
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1526
FormLLWWW
42%
58%
🌟Hendrych covers set handicap as underdog 64% (120)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H18-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-16)