2 Nov · 16:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1616
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1559
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H37-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-30)