2 Nov · 20:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1585
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kosacky
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kosacky
ELO 1610
FormWLLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kosacky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H133-79
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.