2 Nov · 16:20 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
FM
🇨🇿Filip Marat
ELO 1401
FormLWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Dvorak
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1528
FormLLLLL
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Marat🌟Dvorak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (85)
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+127
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)