2 Nov · 17:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Matej Srubar
ELO 1518
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Srubar
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1494
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Srubar
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.