2 Nov · 17:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1678
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sarganek
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1647
FormWWWLW
53%
47%
🌟Sarganek stays under total as favourite 67% (139)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H30-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.