2 Nov · 17:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1528
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Dvorak
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1433
FormLLLWL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hendrych🌟Dvorak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (85)
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H38-44
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)