2 Nov · 22:10 MEZLow · Coin Flip
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1520
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vitasek
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1533
FormLWWLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Heuman🌟Heuman covers set handicap as underdog 69% (88)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H25-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.