2 Nov · 21:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1565
FormLWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sarganek
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1678
FormLLWWL
41%
59%
🌟Sarganek stays under total as favourite 67% (139)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H25-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-20)