2 Nov · 23:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vanek
ELO 1683
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vanek
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kosacky
ELO 1610
FormWLLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Vanek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H19-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-8)