2 Nov · 16:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1647
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sikora
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Baca
ELO 1545
FormWWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)