2 Nov · 21:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1585
FormWLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vanek
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vanek
ELO 1683
FormLWWLL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Brozek
Fair odds · Vanek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H12-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)