2 Nov · 18:20 MEZLow · Slight Edge
FM
🇨🇿Filip Marat
ELO 1401
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hendrych
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1433
FormLLLWL
47%
53%
🌟Marat goes over total as underdog 66% (112)
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H25-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.