2 Nov · 15:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1678
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sarganek
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1595
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Sarganek stays under total as favourite 67% (139)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H43-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-28)