2 Nov · 22:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1585
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hyza
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1605
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Brozek
Fair odds · Hyza
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 43% · 2.34· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H42-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.