3 Nov · 08:10 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1511
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Strelec
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1437
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 64% (148)
Fair odds · Strelec
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)