3 Nov · 14:10 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1432
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sturma
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1375
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Snr🌟Sturma rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (116)
Fair odds · Sturma
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H20-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-13)