3 Nov · 13:10 MEZMedium · Model Lean
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1375
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1481
FormLWLLL
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Snr🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (182)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H11-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)