3 Nov · 09:10 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1432
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Strelec
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1511
FormWLWWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sturma🌟Sturma covers set handicap as underdog 63% (156)
Fair odds · Strelec
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)