3 Nov · 08:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1629
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Pawlik
AV
🇨🇿Anton Veliiev
ELO 1564
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Veliiev🌟Veliiev covers set handicap as underdog 71% (31)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)