3 Nov · 10:15 MEZLow · Coin Flip
AV
🇨🇿Anton Veliiev
ELO 1564
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Benes
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1577
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Veliiev🌟Veliiev covers set handicap as underdog 71% (31)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.