3 Nov · 10:10 MEZLow · Coin Flip
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1437
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jr
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1432
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sturma🌟Sturma covers set handicap as underdog 63% (156)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H66-43
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.