3 Nov · 13:25 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1400
FormLWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Balcar
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Balcar
ELO 1517
FormWLWWW
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Filipek🌟Balcar rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (50)
Fair odds · Balcar
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+117
H2H27-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-18)