3 Nov · 14:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1459
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kral
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1400
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Filipek🌟Kral goes over total as favourite 70% (114)
Fair odds · Kral
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H47-53
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)