3 Nov · 09:55 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1499
FormWWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Vesecky
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1640
FormWWWLL
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sochor
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+141
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)