3 Nov · 14:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srnka
ELO 1566
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Srnka
RM
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1491
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
🌟Muller covers set handicap as underdog 62% (56)
Fair odds · Srnka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)