3 Nov · 10:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1580
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vonasek
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1559
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Brozek
Fair odds · Vonasek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.29· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H34-57
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.