3 Nov · 09:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1583
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pawlik
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1629
FormWWLWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kleprlik
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 29% · 3.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H0-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.