3 Nov · 14:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1639
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Skvrna
AV
🇨🇿Anton Veliiev
ELO 1564
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Veliiev🌟Veliiev covers set handicap as underdog 71% (31)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)